Current Outlook

Wednesday 15 November, 2017

The Resource Manager uses historical flow records to assess the seasonal determinations for a range of inflows to the major storages.

The scenarios assessed are:

Wet: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 10 years out of 100

Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 50 years out of 100

Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 90 years out of 100

Extreme Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 99 years out of 100The following table summarises the possible high-reliability water share seasonal determinations for the Goulburn and Loddon systems through 2017/18. A reference year is included to help users recognise the possible inflow conditions.

Goulburn and Loddon System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Inflow Conditions Similar inflow season  15 December 2017  15 February 2018
Wet 2016/17 100% 100%
Average 2005/06 100% 100%
Dry 2015/16 97% 100%
Extreme Dry 2006/07 95% 98%

 

Seasonal determinations under additional scenarios for the Goulburn and Loddon systems are available from the Northern Victorian Resource Manager website at www.nvrm.net.au/outlooks .