Current Risk of Spill

Friday 10 February, 2017

Low risk of spill declared in the Murray system

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today declared a low risk of spill in the Murray system.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray system during 2016/17 was now below the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Based on Victoria’s share of the volume held in Lake Hume, the risk of spill is about 5 per cent,” Dr Bailey said.

“Any water remaining in spillable water accounts in the Murray system will be made available to entitlement holders for use or trade.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray system. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. The current risk of spill limit allows 200 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The next announcement on the risk of spill and its effect on water availability will refer to the 2017/18 water year. The first risk of spill assessment in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems for the 2017/18 season will be announced on July 3, 2017.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.