The Resource Manager uses historical flow records to assess the seasonal determinations for a range of inflows to the major storages.
The scenarios assessed are:
Wet: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 10 years out of 100
Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 50 years out of 100
Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 90 years out of 100
Extreme Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 99 years out of 100The following table summarises the possible high-reliability water share seasonal determinations for the Goulburn and Loddon systems through 2017/18. A reference year is included to help users recognise the possible inflow conditions.
Goulburn and Loddon System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares
Wet |
2016/17 |
100% |
100% |
Average |
2005/06 |
100% |
100% |
Dry |
2015/16 |
97% |
100% |
Extreme Dry |
2006/07 |
95% |
98% |
Seasonal determinations under additional scenarios for the Goulburn and Loddon systems are available from the Northern Victorian Resource Manager website at www.nvrm.net.au/outlooks.