The outlooks for 2019/20 seasonal determinations are based on historical flow records that have been adjusted to match climate conditions observed since 1975. The outlook scenarios presented are:
Wet: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 10 years out of 100
Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 50 years out of 100
Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 90 years out of 100
Extreme Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 99 years out of 100
The following tables summarise the estimated high-reliability water share seasonal determinations through the season for each scenario in the Murray, Goulburn, Loddon, Campaspe, Broken and Bullarook systems.
Murray System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares
| Wet |
2016/17 |
45% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| Average |
2005/06 |
34% |
59% |
98% |
100% |
| Dry |
2015/16 |
25% |
40% |
48% |
55% |
| Extreme Dry |
2006/07 |
17% |
21% |
23% |
29% |
Goulburn and Loddon System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares
| Wet |
2010/11 |
45% |
98% |
100% |
100% |
| Average |
2003/04 |
33% |
63% |
90% |
100% |
| Dry |
2008/09 |
16% |
34% |
40% |
43% |
| Extreme Dry |
2006/07 |
9% |
15% |
18% |
20% |
Campaspe System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares
| Wet |
2010/11 |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| Average |
2003/04 |
51% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| Dry |
2008/09 |
34% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
| Extreme Dry |
2006/07 |
31% |
31% |
31% |
31% |
Broken System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares
| Wet |
2010/11 |
69% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| Average |
2005/06 |
0% |
77% |
100% |
100% |
| Dry |
2009/10 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Extreme Dry |
2002/03 |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Additional outlook scenarios for each system are available from the Northern Victorian Resource Manager website ( www.nvrm.net.au/outlooks ).
Upcoming Resource Manager Announcements
- The next 2019/20 seasonal determination announcement will be released on Thursday August 1, 2019.