2024/25 Risk of Spill Annoucements

11 November - Low risk of spill declared in Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information for each of the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

Resource Manager Mark Bailey said the risks of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems had fallen below the 10 per cent threshold needed to make a low risk of spill declaration.

“Continued low inflows to the storages this water year, and the water volumes released to meet downstream demand, have further reduced the risk of spill at Lake Hume, Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock,” he said.

“The risk of spill at each of these storages is now low enough to make the water in held in spillable accounts available for use or trade for customers in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.”

Dr Bailey said the risk of spill is a water accounting assessment and does not describe flood risks or the chances of flooding this season.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent.

The current risk of spill in the Murray system allows 200 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The next announcement on the risk of spill and its effect on water availability will refer to the 2025/26 water year. The first risk of spill assessment in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems for the 2025/26 season will be announced on Tuesday 1 July 2025.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit the NVRM website.

Victorian shares of Murray storages can be found on the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.

10 October - 2024/25 Risk of Spill update for Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems

 The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information for each of the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

Resource Manager Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems had declined but remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed to make a low risk of spill declaration.

“Dry conditions during September meant the flows into the major storages were well below average,” he said.

“These low inflows, together with the water released to meet downstream demand, caused the risk of spill at Lake Hume, Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock to reduce.

“The risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Lake Hume in the Murray system is 45 per cent. At Lake Eildon in the Goulburn system, the risk of spill is 30 per cent.

“The risk of spill at Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is 25 per cent.”

Dr Bailey said the risk of spill was a water accounting assessment and did not describe flood risks or the chances of flooding this season.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent.

The risk of spill is now below 50 per cent, allowing 50 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems in 2024/25 will be updated on Monday, 11 November 2024.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit the NVRM website.

Victorian shares of Murray storages can be found on the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.

10 September - 2024/25 Risk of Spill update for Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems

 

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information for each of the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

Resource Manager Mark Bailey said the risk of spill has continued to decline in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems, but remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed to make a low risk of spill declaration.

“Flows into the major storages were well below average during August,” he said.

“This trend has continued into September. When combined with water released to meet downstream demand, the risk of spill at Lake Hume, Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock has reduced.

“The risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Lake Hume in the Murray system is 70 per cent. At Lake Eildon in the Goulburn system, the risk of spill is 45 per cent.

“The risk of spill at Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is 50 per cent.”

 Dr Bailey said the risk of spill is a water accounting assessment and does not describe flood risks or the chances of flooding this season.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent.

As the risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Hume and Dartmouth is currently greater than 50 per cent, allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is not possible. The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems in 2024/25 will be updated on Thursday, 10 October 2024.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit  the NVRM website.

Visit the Murray Darling Basin Authority website for Victorian shares of Murray storages.

 

12 August -  2024/25 Risk of Spill update for Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information for each of the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

Resource Manager Mark Bailey said the risk of spill had declined in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

“Below average flows into the major storages during July continued the trend of recent months,” Dr Bailey said.

“When combined with water released to meet downstream demand, the risk of spill at Lake Hume, Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock has reduced,” he said.

“The risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Lake Hume in the Murray system is 75 per cent and at Lake Eildon in the Goulburn system the risk is 60 per cent.

“The risk of spill at Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is 65 per cent.”

Dr Bailey said the risk of spill was a water accounting assessment and did not describe flood risks or the chances of flooding this season.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent.

As the risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Hume and Dartmouth is currently greater than 50 per cent, allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is not possible.

The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems in 2024/25 will be updated on Tuesday, 10 September 2024.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit  the NVRM website.

Visit the Murray Darling Basin Authority website for Victorian shares of Murray storages.

 

10 July -  2024/25 Risk of Spill update for Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information for each of the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems.

Resource Manager Mark Bailey said there was a small change to the Murray risk, but the Goulburn and Campaspe remain unchanged since the 1 July 2024 assessment.

“Updated Murray system accounts have reduced the risk of spill at Lake Hume from 85 per cent to 80 per cent,” he said.

“The risk of spill from Lake Eildon in the Goulburn system remains at 80 per cent. The risk of spill from Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is also unchanged at 70 per cent.”

Dr Bailey said the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding this season.

“The risk of spill is a water accounting assessment. It does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.”

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Hume and Dartmouth is currently greater than 50 per cent, allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is not possible. The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems in 2024/25 will be updated on Monday, 12 August 2024.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit  the NVRM website.

Visit the Murray Darling Basin Authority website for Victorian shares of Murray storages.

 

1 July - Risk of spill update for Goulburn and Campaspe systems

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today updated the 2024/25 risk of spill information.

“The risk of spill in the Murray system is 85 per cent and 80 per cent in the Goulburn system,” Resource Manager Mark Bailey said.

“In the Campaspe system, the risk of spill from Lake Eppalock is about 70 per cent.

“The risks have fallen since the last update, consistent with below-average storage flows in May and June.”

Dr Bailey said the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding this season.

“The risk of spill is a water accounting assessment. It does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.”

Trading Opportunities

The Barmah Choke trade opportunity was released at 8:30am on Monday 1 July. Announcements on other inter‑valley trade opportunities are scheduled for Tuesday July 2. More information about trade opening times and trade limits is available at the   Water Register Website.

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Hume and Dartmouth is currently greater than 50 per cent, allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is not possible. The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement. 

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems in 2024/25 will be included in the seasonal determination announcement on Monday 10 July 2024.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit   the NVRM website.

Visit the  Murray Darling Basin Authority website for Victorian shares of Murray storages.