Current Outlook

Outlook for the 2022/23 season

The outlooks for 2022/23 seasonal determinations are based on historical flow records that have been adjusted to match climate conditions observed since 1975. The outlook scenarios presented are:

• Wet                  Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 10 years out of 100
• Average           Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 50 years out of 100
• Dry                  Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 90 years out of 100
• Extreme Dry    Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 99 years out of 100

The following tables summarise possible high-reliability water share seasonal determinations through the season and include a reference year to help users recognise the possible inflow conditions.

Goulburn and Loddon System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Campaspe System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Broken System Outlook for Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Sustained wetter than average inflow conditions and spills from Lake Hume are needed in the Murray system before low-reliability water share seasonal determinations can be announced.

Seasonal determinations under additional scenarios for each system are available from the Northern Victorian Resource Manager website at www.nvrm.net.au/outlooks.

Upcoming Resource Manager announcements

• The next 2022/23 seasonal determination announcement will be released on Thursday September 1, 2022.
• The risk of spill in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems will be updated on Monday September 12, 2022.