Inflow ML: Inflow volume that storage has received in Mega Litres

POE: The probability of exceedance describes the likelihood of a specific volume being exceeded in the given time period. E.g. 90% POE means that 90 out of 100 times we would expect higher inflow volumes. A 50% POE is equal to a median average.

% Average: Mean Average - The value obtained by dividing the sum of all inflow volumes by the number of years data is available. Therefore a 50% mean average does not equal a 50% POE.

October Inflows

Monthly Inflow - October 2018

Murray

Goulburn

Ovens

Dartmouth

Hume

Eildon

Goulburn Weir

Buffalo

William Hovell

Inflow (ML)

73,865

76,779

56,910

40,501

10,522

6,559

POE

81%

96%

91%

94%

91%

93%

% of Average

49%

19%

28%

22%

17%

24%

Monthly Inflow - October 2018

Broken

Loddon

Campaspe

Nillahcootie

Cairn Curran

Tullaroop

Laanecoorie

Eppalock

Inflow (ML)

168

1,486

0

0

711

POE

90%

86%

Min

Min

91%

% of Average

2%

11%

0%

0%

4%

Year to Date

Water year 2018/19 to date

Murray

Goulburn

Ovens

Dartmouth

Hume

Eildon

Goulburn Weir

Buffalo

William Hovell

Inflow (ML)

275,302

400,622

610,464

253,968

129,790

79,758

POE

86%

94%

77%

92%

81%

76%

% of Average

51%

26%

62%

30%

49%

64%

Water year 2018/19 to date

Broken

Loddon

Campaspe

Nillahcootie

Cairn Curran

Tullaroop

Laanecoorie

Eppalock

Inflow (ML)

4,358

12,238

3,617

0

13,046

POE

92%

88%

89%

Min%

89%

% of Average

10%

15%

9%

0%

11%

Inflow data for the current water year against different climate scenarios

The scenarios for different inflow conditions were produced using the following terminology:

Wet: Inflow volumes that are greater in 10 years out of 100

Average: Inflow volumes that are greater in 50 years out of 100

Dry: Inflow volumes that are greater in 90 years out of 100

Extreme Dry: Inflow volumes that are greater in 99 years out of 100