Additional scenarios

16 February Outlook for the 2026/27 Season

The outlooks for 2026/27 seasonal determinations are based on historical flow records that have been adjusted to match climate conditions observed since 1975.

The scenarios for different inflow conditions we/re produced using the following terminology:

• Wet: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 10 years out of 100
• Above Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 30 years out of 100
• Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 50 years out of 100
• Below Average: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 70 years out of 100
• Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 90 years out of 100
• Very Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 95 years out of 100
• Extreme Dry: Inflow volumes to major storages that are greater in 99 years out of 100

The following tables summarise possible HRWS seasonal determinations through the 2026/27 season.

Murray Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Goulburn Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Campaspe Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Broken Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Loddon Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares

Bullarook Outlook for 2026/27 Seasonal Determination of High-Reliability Water Shares