2016/17 Risk of Spill Announcements

10 February 2017 - Low risk of spill declared in the Murray system

The Resource Manager for northern Victoria today declared a low risk of spill in the Murray system.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray system during 2016/17 was now below the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Based on Victoria’s share of the volume held in Lake Hume, the risk of spill is about 5 per cent,” Dr Bailey said.

“Any water remaining in spillable water accounts in the Murray system will be made available to entitlement holders for use or trade.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray system. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. The current risk of spill limit allows 200 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The next announcement on the risk of spill and its effect on water availability will refer to the 2017/18 water year. The first risk of spill assessment in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems for the 2017/18 season will be announced on July 3, 2017.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.

10 January 2017 - No change to risk of spill in Murray system

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray system, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray system during 2016/17 had reduced, but remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“The volume in Lake Hume is falling as the Murray-Darling Basin Authority releases water to meet downstream demand,” Dr Bailey said.

“With reducing volumes of water flowing into Lake Hume from the upstream catchment, the risk of spill is now 12 per cent.

“At this stage, no further deductions from Murray spillable accounts are needed unless there is a seasonal determination against low-reliability water shares while Lake Hume is still at risk of spilling.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray system. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. The current risk of spill limit allows 200 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website, waterregister.vic.gov.au/water-trading/allocation-trading.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray system will be updated on Friday February 10, 2017.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray-Darling Basin Authority website.

 

12 December 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray system

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray system, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray system during 2016/17 remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Lake Hume has fallen below 100 per cent of capacity as the Murray-Darling Basin Authority has released water to meet downstream demand,” Dr Bailey said.

“Recent drier conditions have reduced the volume of water flowing into Lake Hume and the risk of spill has reduced to 37 per cent.

“At this stage, no further deductions from Murray spillable accounts are needed unless there is a seasonal determination against low-reliability water shares while Lake Hume is still at risk of spilling.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray system. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. The current risk of spill limit allows 50 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website, waterregister.vic.gov.au/water-trading/allocation-trading.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray system will be updated on Tuesday January 10, 2017.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray-Darling Basin Authority website.

10 November 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray system

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray system, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray system during 2016/17 remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Lake Hume continues to spill,” said Dr Bailey. “Recent drier conditions have reduced the rate of spill and the risk for the Murray system will be reassessed in December.

“At this stage, no further deductions from Murray spillable accounts are needed unless there is a seasonal determination against low-reliability water shares and Lake Hume is still at risk of spilling.”

Dr Bailey also spoke on the risk of spill in the Campaspe system.

“Lake Eppalock is spilling,” said Dr Bailey. “However, no more deductions from spillable accounts are possible this season because the Campaspe system has reached the maximum possible seasonal determination of 100 per cent of high- and low-reliability water shares.

“There will be no more announcements about the risk of spill at Lake Eppalock and in the Campaspe system in 2016/17.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray or Campaspe systems. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill in the Murray system is above 50 per cent, trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the volume traded from Victoria to New South Wales since November 1, 2016. 

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcment on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray system will be updated on Monday December 12, 2016.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the MDBA website.

10 October 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray or Campaspe sysyems

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray or Campaspe systems, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems during 2016/17 remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Lake Hume and Lake Eppalock are spilling”, Dr Bailey said.

“Seasonal rainfall outlooks issued by the Bureau of Meteorology suggest it will be some time before a low risk of spill is declared.

“All of the water held in spillable water accounts in the Murray system has been deducted due to the volume of water that has spilled from Lake Hume in recent weeks.

“No further deductions will occur unless a seasonal determination against low-reliability water shares is announced for the Murray system and Lake Hume is still at risk of spilling.

“Lake Eppalock started spilling on October 3. Water will be deducted from spillable water accounts in the Campaspe system. The volume of the deductions will be assessed and applied with the next seasonal determination update on October 17.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray or Campaspe systems. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill in the Murray system is above 50 per cent, trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the volume traded from Victoria to New South Wales since September 1, 2016.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems will be updated on Thursday November 10, 2016.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations and resource availability, please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the MDBA website.

12 September 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray or Campaspe systems

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray or Campaspe systems, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems during 2016/17 remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“The Murray-Darling Basin Authority is still pre-releasing water from Lake Hume, which means the risk of spill is effectively 100 per cent,” Dr Bailey said. “The risk of spill from Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is about 22 per cent.

“The water held in spillable water accounts in the Murray and Campaspe systems remains quarantined from use or trade.”

“The Lake Hume pre-releases mean water will be deducted from spillable water accounts in the Murray system,” said Dr Bailey. “The timing and volume of the deductions depends on the volume and duration of the pre‑releases. More information, including the initial volume of deductions, will be provided with the next seasonal determination update on September 15.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray or Campaspe systems. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill in the Murray system is above 50 per cent, trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the volume traded from Victoria to New South Wales.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems will be updated on Monday October 10, 2016.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations, resource availability please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.

 

10 August 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray or Campaspe systems

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray or Campaspe systems, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems during 2016/17 had increased in the last month under the influence of continuing wet weather and remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Victoria’s share of the volume held in Lake Hume has increased and the risk of spill in the Murray system is currently about 90 per cent. The risk of spill from Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is about 22 per cent,” Dr Bailey said. “The water held in spillable water accounts in the Murray and Campaspe systems remains quarantined from use or trade.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray or Campaspe systems this season. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill in the Murray system is above 50 per cent, trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the volume traded from Victoria to New South Wales.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website .

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems will be updated on Monday September 12, 2016.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations, resource availability please visit www.nvrm.net.au . The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.

 

11 July 2016 - No Change to Risk of Spill in Murray or Campaspe systems

There is no change to the risk of spill in the Murray or Campaspe systems, the Resource Manager for northern Victoria announced today.

Resource Manager for northern Victoria Mark Bailey said the risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems during 2016/17 remained above the 10 per cent threshold needed for a declaration to be made.

“Based on Victoria’s share of the volume held in Lake Hume, the risk of spill in the Murray system is currently about 40 per cent. The risk of spill from Lake Eppalock in the Campaspe system is about 15 per cent,” Dr Bailey said. “The water held in spillable water accounts in the Murray and Campaspe systems remains quarantined from use or trade.”

Dr Bailey added the risk of spill assessment did not describe the chances of flooding in the Murray or Campaspe systems this season. He reminded the public that the risk of spill relates to the availability of water in spillable water accounts and does not refer to flood risks downstream of the storages.

Trading Opportunities

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in the Murray system below 50 per cent. The current risk of spill limit allows 39 GL of net trade from New South Wales to Victoria.

Customers participating in the water trading market can monitor trade availability on the Water Register website.

Next announcement on risk of spill

The risk of spill in the Murray and Campaspe systems will be updated on Wednesday August 10, 2016.

For information about the Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems, including seasonal determinations, resource availability please visit www.nvrm.net.au. The status of Victorian shares of Murray storages is available at the Murray Darling Basin Authority website.